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download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Read previewFrom Michael Burry's "Big Short" against the housing market to Warren Buffett's warnings during the dot-com bubble, some of the biggest names in finance have taken contrarian stances that paid off. Legendary forecaster Gary Shilling is also defying market consensus by warning the S&P 500 could crash 30%, and predicting a recession will strike this year. He told Business Insider in an interview he actively seeks to disagree with Wall Street for several reasons. This story is available exclusively to Business Insider subscribers.
Persons: , Michael Burry's, Warren Buffett's, Gary Shilling, Shilling, Merrill Lynch's, John Paulson, doesn't, Copernicus, David Rosenberg, it's Organizations: Service, Business Locations: Newton
"Big Short" investor Michael Burry's bearish stock bets earlier are paying off. In the second quarter, his management fund Scion held put options on ETFs that track the S&P 500 and Nasdaq. Since then, the S&P 500 has fallen about 8%, and the Nasdaq has tumbled 9%. AdvertisementAdvertisementMichael Burry's bearish equity bets earlier this year have proven correct as the S&P 500 and Nasdaq have sold off sharply. On Friday, the S&P 500 entered correction territory, joining the Nasdaq after it made a similar move earlier this week.
Persons: Michael Burry's, , Burry Organizations: Scion, Nasdaq, Service, Burry
Investors would have made more money buying the S&P 500 than following Michael Burry's stock-market warnings, said Charlie Bilello, chief market strategist at Creative Planning. "Simply buying the S&P 500 instead of following Michael Burry's stock market warnings would have made an investor money each time with an average 6-month annualized gain of 34%. He was referring to gains delivered by the benchmark index in the periods that immediately followed a selection of Burry's tweets between 2019 and 2023. AdvertisementAdvertisementThe S&P 500 share index has climbed more than 16% so far in 2023, thanks in no small part to investor excitement over the rise of artificial-intelligence technologies. He's warned of an economic downturn since the first half of 2022, leading him to place a bet with a notional value of $1.6 billion against the S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100 last quarter.
Persons: Michael Burry's, Charlie Bilello, Burry, Morgan Stanley's Mike Wilson, David Rosenberg, OpenAI's ChatGPT, Burry hasn't, He's Organizations: Creative Planning, Service, Asset Management, Federal Reserve, Nvidia, Apple, Microsoft, Nasdaq Locations: Wall, Silicon
Warren Buffett and Michael Burry may be expecting a market downturn and recession, Steve Hanke says. Berkshire Hathaway sold a net $8 billion of stocks and added to its cash pile in the second quarter. Burry's Scion firm placed bets against the S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100 worth a notional $1.6 billion. Steve Hanke says the Berkshire Hathaway CEO and the investor of "The Big Short" fame are likely preparing for trouble. "It looks to me like Burry has made a good move," Hanke said about the Scion chief's latest big short.
Persons: Warren Buffett, Michael Burry, Steve Hanke, Berkshire Hathaway, Buffett's, Hanke, Buffett, Goldman Sachs, Davidson, Elon Musk's Tesla, Burry, Ronald Reagan Organizations: Scion, Nasdaq, Service, Berkshire, Johns Hopkins University, Toronto Trust, Electric, Harley, Scion Asset Management, Elon, & $ Locations: Wall, Silicon, Toronto Trust Argentina, Mars
Michael Burry's bet against the S&P 500 could prove to be painful, Kevin O'Leary warned. Burry made around $100 million betting on the 2008 crisis, but that was a different game, O'Leary says. The S&P 500 has 500 mega-cap companies in it in 11 sectors of the economy, real estate only being one of them. The same goes for Burry's bet against the Nasdaq 100, which is largely concentrated in tech, but has leading stocks in different areas of the sector. At the crux of the market's turmoil, the S&P 500 could plummet 57% to 1,900 and the Nasdaq could plunge 56% to 6,000, Burry predicted last year.
Persons: Michael Burry's, Kevin O'Leary, Burry, O'Leary, " O'Leary, , Burry aren't Organizations: Service, Fox News, Nasdaq, Scion Asset Management Locations: Wall, Silicon
A person waits on the Wall Street subway platform in the Financial District of Manhattan, New York City, U.S., August 20, 2021. The warning followed rival Moody's downgrading 10 mid-sized lenders earlier this month, citing funding risks and weaker profitability. Among the mid-sized lenders, Western Alliance Bancorp (WAL.N) and PacWest Bancorp (PACW.O) fell 8.4% and 1.6%, respectively. The S&P 500 banks index (.SPXBK) was down 2.1%, hitting its lowest in a month. Separately, Discover Financial Services (DFS.N) shares fell 8.3% to $94.10, a day after its CEO stepped down.
Persons: Andrew Kelly, Banks, Wells, JPMorgan Chase, Goldman, Morgan Stanley, MS.N, Michael Burry's, Niket, Arun Koyyur Organizations: Financial, of, REUTERS, CNBC, Federal Deposit Insurance Corp, Bank of America, JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs, Citigroup, Western Alliance Bancorp, PacWest Bancorp, Michael Burry's Scion Asset Management, Comerica, Discover Financial Services, Thomson Locations: of Manhattan , New York City, U.S, Bengaluru
US hedge funds stampede out of China in Q2
  + stars: | 2023-08-14 | by ( Carolina Mandl | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
The hedge fund slashed its position in Alibaba by roughly 90% from March to June, filings showed. D1 Capital Partners also dumped all its 1.7 million shares - or $176.8 million - in Alibaba, according to documents. Louis Bacon's Moore Capital Management sold over $200 million in shares of Alibaba, exiting its position in the company. Amid those uncertainties, China-focused mutual funds also suffered a net outflow of $674 million in the second quarter. At the end of July, hedge funds' exposure to China was well below five-year averages, Goldman Sachs showed.
Persons: Lucas Jackson, Philippe Laffont, Li Auto, Louis Bacon's, Michael Burry's, Joe Biden, Goldman Sachs, Carolina Mandl, Alison Williams, Cynthia Osterman Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, YORK, D1 Capital, Tiger Global, HK, Coatue Management, Tiger Management, Baidu, KE Holdings, PDD Holdings, D1 Capital Partners, Louis Bacon's Moore Capital Management, Alibaba, Michael Burry's Scion Asset Management, Thomson Locations: New York, U.S, JD.com, Kanzhun, Alibaba, China
Western Alliance Bancorp — Western Alliance shares jumped 3.6% after Bank of America reinstated coverage on the stock with a buy rating. Home Depot , Lowe's — Shares of home improvement retailers Home Depot and Lowe's lost 1.4% and 1% in midday trading Tuesday. On Monday, Daniel Welch, a director at Seagen, disclosed the sale of 1,864 shares, a stake worth more than $370,000. GE HealthCare — The medtech company's shares gained nearly 3% after Oppenheimer initiated coverage with an outperform rating on Monday. GE HealthCare separated from parent company General Electric earlier in 2023 and began publicly trading on the Nasdaq Jan. 4.
The S&P Regional Banking Index fell approximately 25% during the quarter as a run on deposits sank Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank in March, both of which were at the time the largest banking failures since the Great Financial Crisis. The S&P Regional Banking index is now down 36% for the year to date. Famed "Big Short" investor Michael Burry's Scion Asset Management, meanwhile, added a number of new positions in regional banks, including stakes in First Republic, PacWest (PACW.O) and Western Alliance Bancorp (WAL.N). Shares of regional banks have remained volatile in recent weeks, with some investors wary of more tumult to come in the sector. London-based Marshall Wace sold 51,300 shares of First Republic in the first quarter, closing its position in the bank.
JPMorgan banker Bob Michele said businesses and consumers are "burning cash in a big way." Americans are weathering a painful mix of historic inflation and much higher borrowing costs. "They occurred because businesses and consumers are burning cash in a big way," he said. Consumers depleted their deposits in part because they had to cover the higher costs of groceries and other essentials, he said. Similarly, businesses withdrew cash as the interest rates on their debts have doubled or tripled from a year ago, he continued.
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